Idolites -
Thanks to President Obama, I was given an extra day to deal with my cold, thus I can deliver this year's pool statistics. For the true stat geeks, you will find all the raw data on the 'Pool Consensus' tab on the weekly standings update spreadsheet.
After much pouring over all the e-mails and pool entry submissions, we ended up with 105 total entries. That's up 28 entries from last year...+36%!! Who says we're in a recession?
Our current pool leader, Jessica Fracker, is in the picture above (on right) with Idol 7 Winner David Cook. Nice job on both fronts, Jessica! Check out her other photo on the right sidebar with Idol 6 Winner, Jordin Sparks. I think Jessica should run this pool. She has way more Idol cred than I do!
I looked at how we all picked as a pool. Here were some of the interesting (if you're a stat geek like I am) findings:
Thanks to President Obama, I was given an extra day to deal with my cold, thus I can deliver this year's pool statistics. For the true stat geeks, you will find all the raw data on the 'Pool Consensus' tab on the weekly standings update spreadsheet.
After much pouring over all the e-mails and pool entry submissions, we ended up with 105 total entries. That's up 28 entries from last year...+36%!! Who says we're in a recession?
Our current pool leader, Jessica Fracker, is in the picture above (on right) with Idol 7 Winner David Cook. Nice job on both fronts, Jessica! Check out her other photo on the right sidebar with Idol 6 Winner, Jordin Sparks. I think Jessica should run this pool. She has way more Idol cred than I do!
I looked at how we all picked as a pool. Here were some of the interesting (if you're a stat geek like I am) findings:
- 9 of the 13 finalists were picked to be American Idol.
- Danny Gokey received the most picks for Idol at 30. Lil was next with 24, Adam 18, Allison 10, Alexis 9, Scott 7, Kris 5, Megan and Matt were each picked just once.
- No one picked Anoop, Michael, Jasmine or Jorge to win it.
- The overall pool favorite, however, goes to Lil Rounds. Why you ask? Well, Lil had the lowest average predicted finish of 2.78. The rest of the group finished out as follows: 2. Danny (3.41) 3. Adam (4.06) 4. Allison (4.91) 5. Alexis (5.63) 6. Scott (7.20) 7. Anoop 8.25 8. Jorge (8.34) 9t. Matt (8.62) 9t. Megan (8.62) 11. Kris (9.18) 12. Jasmine (9.49) 13. Michael (10.16)
- Each contestant was picked to finish 13th at least once except Lil. Her lowest pick was to finish 8th.
- Each contestant was picked to finish by at least as high as 2nd, except Michael Sarver. The best someone could muster was 3rd (3 times!).
- Vegas went with Adam Lambert. Bodoglife.com posted their odds to win and Adam was the favorite at 2/1. The rest stacked up like so: 2. Danny (5/2) 3. Lil (5/1) 4. Allison (15/2) 5. Scott (10/1) 6t. Alexis (12/1) 6t. Matt (12/1) 8t. Anoop (15/1) 8t. Megan (15/1) 10. Jorge (25/1) 11t. Kris (30/1) 11t. Jasmine (30/1) 13. Michael (50/1)
- Again, just check the Pool Consensus tab on the weekly standings and you can see all of this dribble in neat, organized rows and columns. I also keep track of how we do as a pool versus the actual results. Currently, the pool consensus has a total of 13 points, which would be a tie for 35th place.
OK, that's enough. Enjoy the show tomorrow. If Michael was in the bottom 2 during country week, does he stand a shot on Motown night? We shall see.
I'm looking forward to it!
I'm looking forward to it!
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